Professional Surveying Space Weather Report

Surveying Operations Impact Assessment
Generated: 2026-08-03 16:13:13 UTC

Executive Summary

Overall Threat Level

MODERATE

Confidence Level

HIGH

Key Findings

  • Solar activity is low with only C-class flares observed; no Earth-directed CMEs are anticipated in the next few days.
  • Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled, with Kp values reaching 3-4 but no G1 or greater storm expected through 21 June.
  • RTK operations should remain feasible, but longer initialization times and 2-5 cm accuracy degradation are possible, especially for high-latitude and long-baseline surveys.

Current Space Weather Conditions

Solar Activity

LOW
ParameterValue
Solar Flux (10.7cm)113 sfu (forecast for 17 Jun)
Active Regions4 numbered regions; Region 4465 is the most active, with beta-gamma magnetic complexity
Flare ProbabilityM-class: 15%, X-class: 1%

Geomagnetic Activity

UNSETTLED
ParameterValue
Kp Index3-4 (max 4.00, no G1 storm expected)
Planetary A Index10-15 (A_p forecast through 19 Jun)

Space Weather Storms

Storm TypeCurrent StatusForecast
Geomagnetic StormsNo G1 or greater storms expected through 21 June; isolated active conditions possible on 19 June due to coronal hole high-speed stream effects.-
Solar Radiation StormsNo S1 or greater solar radiation storms expected.-
Radio BlackoutsNo R1 events expected through 19 June; slight chance of R1-R2 after 20 June with the expected return of old Region 4455.-

Geomagnetic Activity Trends - Last 7 Days

Hp30 and ap30 geomagnetic activity indices for the last 7 days

Graph Statistics

ParameterValue
Data Points337
Period2026-07-27 23:30 UTC to 2026-08-03 23:30 UTC
Max Hp306.00
Max ap3080 nT

Activity Levels

Quiet: Hp30 ≤ 2.5, ap30 ≤ 7 nT
Unsettled: Hp30 2.5-4.0, ap30 7-15 nT
Active: Hp30 4.0-6.0, ap30 15-30 nT
Storm: Hp30 ≥ 6.0, ap30 ≥ 30 nT

Data Source: GFZ Helmholtz Centre Potsdam - Geomagnetic Observatory Niemegk
Note: Hp30 and ap30 indices provide high-resolution (30-minute) measurements of geomagnetic activity.

Solar F10.7 Flux

F10.7 flux graph temporarily unavailable. Please check the data source connection.

Surveying Operations Impact Assessment

Positioning Accuracy

MODERATE Risk

Affected Regions: High-latitude geomagnetic regions (>55 degrees), Long RTK baselines (>30 km)

Expected Impact: Minor ionospheric delay and scintillation, with occasional RTK ambiguity resets; fixed solutions are likely but may require more time.

Accuracy Degradation: 2-5 cm degradation in high-latitude/long-baseline operations; typically <2 cm for shorter mid-latitude baselines.

RTK GNSS Performance

MODERATE impact; baselines under 20 km remain reliable, while longer baselines may experience more intermittent fixed solutions.

Initialization Time: RTK initialization likely 1-3 minutes; occasional >3 minute delays in active ionospheric conditions.

Network RTK Stability: Network RTK remains generally stable, though correction age may increase during local disturbances; use dual-frequency/multi-constellation receivers.

Survey Operations

Recommended Methods:

  • RTK with baseline lengths limited to 15-20 km
  • Network RTK using atmospheric corrections
  • Static or PPK for high-precision control points

Session Duration: Increase static occupation times by 50% if Kp reaches 4; plan for 15-30 extra minutes per RTK session to account for re-initialization.

Quality Control:

  • Use dual-frequency/multi-constellation receivers with ionospheric correction enabled
  • Monitor baseline residuals and RTK fixed status
  • Re-observe critical points when conditions change
  • Record PDOP and satellite geometry during each session

Surveying Operations Recommendations

Immediate Actions

  • Check current Kp forecast before field mobilization
  • Keep RTK baselines under 20 km where possible
  • Use network RTK or PPP-RTK services to mitigate ionospheric errors

Survey Planning

  • Schedule high-accuracy stakeout for periods with Kp below 4
  • Allow extra time for RTK initialization and potential restarts
  • Use static or PPK methods for control networks if Kp remains elevated

Equipment Considerations

  • Enable multi-constellation and ionospheric correction features
  • Use ground-plane or choke-ring antennas for better multipath rejection
  • Verify correction link stability and data quality before starting

Field Crew Guidance

  • If fixed solution is not achieved within 3 minutes, re-initialize at a new location
  • Document any dropped fixes and re-observe affected points
  • Avoid critical observations during local afternoon ionospheric peak, if possible

Risk Timeline

Next 24 Hours

MODERATE Risk
  • Kp index up to 4 expected
  • No G1 geomagnetic storms expected
  • Quiet-to-unsettled geomagnetic conditions with low solar flare activity

Next 3 Days

MODERATE Risk
  • A_p index 10-15 with no G1 storms through 19 June
  • Possible active high-latitude periods on 19 June due to coronal hole high-speed stream
  • Increasing chance of R1-R2 radio blackouts after 20 June with return of Region 4455

Extended Outlook

MODERATE Risk
  • No items specified